How Much Does an iPhone 5 Cost to Make ?

How Much Does an iPhone 5 Cost to Make ?

Apparently between $207 and $238 including components and direct labour but not including general business overheads, shipping, advertising etc.

According to a report by IHS iSuppli (Technology Component Benchmarking) the iPhone 5 is most profitable for Apple when you buy the 32Mb or 64Mb version. For the $10 difference of memory component costs between 16MB and 32MB the consumer pays an extra $100, and for the $31.20 difference between 16MB and 64BM the consumer pays a premium of $200 between the base costs of a 16MB iPhone 5 ($649) and the 64MB iPhone 5 ($849).

Apple gross margins of 49-58% on its U.S. iPhone sales between April 2010 & end March 2012 (23 to 32% on U.S. iPads)

(Margin Data Source: Reuters  http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/07/26/us-apple-margins-idUSBRE86P1NI20120726 )

See full report at: http://www.isuppli.com/Teardowns/News/pages/iPhone5-Carries-$199-BOM-Virtual-Teardown-Reveals.aspx

Customer Service Problems Driving Churn as fast as advertising delivering customers

Advertising spend is increasing again in 2010 (hurrah), but the ‘Theme park bad-visit effect’ may hurt the advertisers as we exit an 18 month period that has decimated staff morale and general goodwill.

The Theme park study is research that found that 1 bad visit to a very well known US company’s theme parks requires 7 positive subsequent visits to restore the customer love and consistently result in positive word of mouth from the customer.

It is implied that companies halt advertising when they have serious customer service problems yet companies have an instinct to go the other way and ramp up marketing spend to talk their way out of their problems. This only brings more of their total available universe of customers in to a negative environment that they will bounce out of and be xx% more expensive to ever acquire again.

We know UK staff have just come through a tough environment which tends to dent morale, a key component of great customer service.

Research my wife did at IAC Interactive Corp years ago showed that 2 negative experiences in less than a year more than quadruples normal abandonment (detailed research I cannot share but it statistically modelled experience to frequency and emotional involvement of customer interaction and the order of the events)…roughly speaking…rude Bentley salesman is dead in water at 1st move, rude corner shop guy is an allowable inconvenience that should be avoided after 2nd or 3rd time.

At 3 or above negative experiences (over say 90 days) it becomes almost impossible to use marketing alone to win the customers goodwill back and even more to get them to be a brand advocate. Both will usually be at a cost that exceeds the customers LTV.

Recently I noticed a slump in UK customer serviced and I like to talk from facts and not opinions so over the last 6 months I have used my old investigative journalism skills to look at some companies I am a regular customer with, and also look at a 10 year old case I was involved with.

***This research is limited to a part time qualitative research, opportunistically asking high gain questions when I have a few minute spare in course of my personal consumer relationship with the company. Case studies drawn from conversations with the staff and management of each company who are often extremely open. No brands stated***

Case 1: The Restaurant that has fast staff running out the door

This large chain of trendy restaurants recently has developed a very high staff turnover, evidenced by stressed looking shift leads hovering behind the tills doing real time training on POS and processes. Too many floaters/floor walkers can be a signal of high staff turnover in a business.

(If you see INS floaters at a US airport immigration point, get a good book out and forget that connection).

The increase in food delivery delays caused by communications errors alone rather than sheer workload is a consultancy touchstone, usually drawing your attention to potential problems in organisations management.

These highlight poor training and team cohesiveness issues and not just, ‘Jeez these guys’ are busy and growing fast.  Cold but seemingly fresh looking food is a signal of poor communications and teamwork in a restaurant as is lots of movement by staff without plates/condiments etc…They are usually doing communication runs.

In this restaurant morale has collapsed at some branches and the trendy reputation is being replaced by word of mouth ‘sweatshop / move on to somewhere that cares’ reputation in staff circles. The loss of unique culture triggered by a management ‘work harder, faster, more more more’ led to some original store managers leaving and now a good willed but inexperienced management is leading many restaurants. The trendy reputation was a rod for their back, attracting great people with high expectations who in themselves were hard to buy back from the edge when the company ‘went corporate’ which is almost inevitable in any company that intends to grow.

Perhaps the tragedy is that throughout the recession they were a very busy and profitable chain benefitting from the downgrade in eating out that increased their average customer visits. However at a guess I imagine someone in the business wanted to feather the bank account for harder times ahead and by doing so risked the business, or they wanted to fund new store openings which are now fast and frequent.

In the case of expansion whist wages are capped, a basic business rule may have been broken.

Don’t spend large amounts of money in a noticeable way whilst staff are on a wage or benefit freeze.

Only CEO’s and CFO’s feel the warm glow of strategic advancement while pay is frozen. The foot soldiers probably didn’t take a pay cut to £1 year like a CEO, but neither will they have been likely to have been coincidentally awarded £6m in stock. They just leave or stay and act up to the point they drown out the diminishing hero staffers that remain. The wheels start falling off.

In this restaurants London branches I’ve now witnessed numerous disappointments at tables near me but few complaints, though the rate is increasing many times faster than their food prices which are at an inflation busting (12% up y/y) on some items. While I’ll tell the manager when I’m not served well, and always ensure I get the food as I like it (and come back), my table buddies often shrug and just don’t come back.  Luckily these restaurants advertising budget is low and customer loyalty unusually strong. Store openings are rapidly increasing at around the same rate as the collapse in customer service culture. This chain will be here to stay, but it is going to get painful soon.

Case 2: The Big Utility who wanted everyone to love them

Management were worried about losing customers to a more nimble competitor and increasing commoditisation of their services. They were experiencing high customer churn due to poor customer service and sluggish customer growth due to slow productisation of their otherwise industry leading innovations. The management went on a kind of ‘love thy customer drive in the way you attempt to buy an upset child’s affections’ drive, This empowered huge swaths of staff to issue credits to complaining customers.

The simplistic manner in which account credits were enabled should have been a red flag from day one.  A senior manager potentially feeling under pressure (and probably months behind due to procrastination/politics) declared “let’s keep this simple so everyone understands and we get fast results”. I imagine this senior type was measured to soft metrics such as brand loyalty or maybe harder metrics such as retention … but not a complex financial scorecard.

The cry of ‘let’s keep this simple’ drowned out any notion of ‘let’s do this right’ or more business speak-phrased ‘ensure effective and efficient management of it’.

Talking to one of the programme leads years later they corrected me and said ‘that’s consultant doublespeak Bill…’effective and efficient..you are repeating yourself’. They probably were still not ready for the lesson in how you can be very efficiently ineffective. But the attitude alone was interesting and belied a righteousness that is remarkable based on what happened next.

Several months after the initiative launch the execs found out that the ‘call centre monkeys’ (one 22 year old managers phrase not mine…I was ex ‘Monkey’ in his language!) had outsmarted them and given away huge sums to boost every possible stat you can imagine a call centre person has. In an environment where you have to put a code in your phone that times how long you are at the toilet, there is no love lost.

In fact the incentives for customers even drove down the quality of retained staff..Imagine you are on your third customer complaint of the week for poor interpersonal skills and about to get a HR visit.

“Err..my managers not in right now but I’ve realised this must be frustrating for you, let me give you £100 off your bill.”

Ta Da..Happy customer who may even write in and say how great you are and get you promoted!

The cat starts buying lives with his owner’s money.

I used to work in a call centre many moons ago, like bars and hairdressers…they are an environment where the underrated and underappreciated can run riot while the spotty faced fast track management stream get eaten alive (and don’t notice the first few hundred gnaw marks).

I once had to fire half a dozen call centre staff in a day for unrelated schemes that a MENSA member would have been hard pressed to think up. (There is a reason very senior call centre managers are rumoured to be paid as much as NHS surgeons)

The simple rules had meant all staff of a certain grade were equally able to dish out cash or credits, irrespective of their personal track record or alignment or knowledge of the way the company measured our strategic goal.

Call centres are often considered cost centres not profit centres and so are measured quantitatively rather than qualitatively. In a world where you don’t feel human relationships with your upper management and the only human connection is at the end of a phone, nice people do favours to nice people.

Long story long…it was a financial disaster.

A year in to the programme someone senior went to spend more time with their family and the pendulum swung. Now you’d be hard pressed to give the customer 50 pence if a company van had just driving through their living room for a laugh. The disproportionate swing saved a fortune, even more than before the ‘buy their love’ campaign. But locally managers lost almost all their discretion as part of an exec culture not to trust the monkeys again.

The best people left and it took years and tens of thousands of customers before a well thought out system, fraud limited and nuanced to customer expectations re-emerged. No one ever admitted the ‘lets rush it and do it simple’ rather than right was the main cause’. The new system for refunds was not simple and required someone who bothered to read the documents and flow charts. By virtue this meant most disputes ended up with someone who had a clue, had professional personality.

As far as I know that system and its creator are still around in the company and the stats look ok.

Fixed Price Consultancy

Value Based Consultancy – Fixed Cost Consultancy

As the recession swings in, more clients are looking to fix their costs, especially in areas such as legal and consultancy, where huge costs can be ran up.

The benefits to the client are clear, but few lawyers or business consultants are keen to embrace Fixed-Time, Fixed Price Consultancy models.

The demand for flat fee consultancy will not go away and can be very successful in attracting new business. It is also playing with fire.

How to Run Fixed Price Consultancy Projects (Just a short top level review, books are dedicated to such things)

1. Protect Your Brand. Ensure offering fixed price services does not diminish your brand by appearing to be discounting. Some people like reassuringly expensive, that’s one reason why Magic Circle Lawyers and McKinsey Consulting do well (apart from they are also very good).

2. Watch for canibalisation. Calculate revenue canibalisation from existing clients demanding a move to a Flat Fee Model

3. Look Ahead. Introduce Flat Fee models only in areas where you have very accurate knowledge of time/resource costs for the next 12 months. I recently bought US contractors in Dollars and then saw the £ drop 15% below my currency hedge. Nasty.

4. Resist scope creep at all costs, make it clear up front that the project will needs to be very well scoped/planned and that creep will be proactively managed.

5. Stick to what you know. Favour Fixed Price Consulting where “We’ve done this thing a million times before”, NEVER when “I think my estimates look ok, it’s a bit like what we did last time, I guess we can do this”. Make sure there is clear start point, clear process and clear sign off, use time and materials for everything else.

6. Be realistic. Fortune favours the brave, Fixed Cost favours the very realistic. Count all the time it takes to do a project including client management.

7. Add a safety margin: Calculate the hourly rate to carry out the project and then add 15%.

8. Look for time savings: Calculate how much time can be saved on time tracking and complicated billing that is removed by a flat fee. Treat that saving like it’s VAT and save it in a project fund called “Oh My God – I looked away for 5 minutes and now have a huge overrun on a fixed cost project”

9. Focus on efficiency: Introduce new equipment and efficient processes wherever possible in relation to fixed price projects. Efficiency has to be invested in.

10. Delegate. Now the client is not paying for a named individuals time, offload the simple tasks to a junior staff member who should enjoy a more varied workload

11. Talk to customers: Is there a demand for fixed price services in your industry, if demand is weak then consider shelving the idea until demand grows. If you do run with a Flat Fee service offering, get as much feedback from those trialing the model (staff and clients) and modify as needed. Openly say to happy fixed price clients “This pricing model is quite new for us, we’d like to try it out with more clients, is there anyone you know open to trialing this model. It’s a direct request for a referral, but there clearly a benefit for the new prospective client.

12. Try it out: Once you have a plan, start small and try it with a single client. A few weeks later you will almost certainly have made a few tweaks. Continue to roll out the pricing model slowly and make sure your financial backers such as banks understand what is happening so they understand the benefits as well as the risks.

The aim should be to maintain or grow revenue and profit whilst differentiating yourself in the market. Win win for clients peace of mind and consultants finances.

Improve Online Surveys

It should not take you more than 15 min to complete the survey”

In the last week I received 9 workplace online survey requests from internal teams, partners and suppliers that asked me for “just 15 minutes”.  135 minutes in total, that is almost $700 of my time if you were buying it.

If your elevator pitch is 30 seconds, why is your survey 15 minutes?

I ignore the majority of surveys unless they are likely to influence something I have a very strong interest in. If I don’t have time to update my blog regularly or go to Starbucks I certainly won’t tick though bloated surveys designed to cover every possible stakeholders curiosity with no clear benefit to my needs and with a distinct likelihood the survey data will influence nothing.

If I really care about something, I’ll have proactively contacted the service provider and given them a thumbs up or request for better service, but I still believe surveys have their place.

If you want busy people to fill out surveys, the survey needs to be less than 5 minutes and extract the respondent’s most powerful feelings about your product or service.  Too many surveys demand volumes of data when a few simple high gain questions would suffice

1.         Will you use our service in 2009? (Yes / No / Don’t Know)

2.         Why?    [Free form answer]

3.         Submit Button

Drop down lists and radio button scales are all there to help the survey team quantify responses but in the lust for measurement surveys usually miss the real nuggets of value.

The obsession with lists, values and predefined choices abstract respondents in such as way that you may as well fingerprint people with oven mitts on.

When was the last time you filled out a survey and thought, “Damn..They really got some usable valuable insights from me”, Most of the time surveys feel like doing lines in detention.

What is better? 15% of respondents telling you their favorite and least liked aspects of your service (time to collect – less than 90 seconds) or 0.9% of your customer base filling out volumes of data on every facet of your offering (time to collect – 15 minutes).

If you want to move management forward in most business and get fast decisions you’ll need to represent a large volume of user demand that cannot be argued with.

In a world where everyone has the bright idea of a 15 minute survey without immediate reward, your decision to get to the point and ask the 5 most important questions in less than 3 minutes is a distinct advantage. Less is more.

UK Interactive Agencies Revenue Per Head

Working ONLY off their declared figures in last years NMA rankings, it appears some agencies are doing quite nicely thank you, whilst others appear to be earning less than minimum wage. Those agencies marked in green below are the those with the highest revenue per declared UK staff member, those in red are the agencies with the lowest revenue per head. CAVEAT: This is purely calculated by dividing the agencies own declared revenue and staff figures and takes no account for declared staff who may not contribute to interactive revenues etc. Enjoy.

ALL FINANCIAL FIGURES IN GBP

Agency  Declared 2007
UK turnover
UK Staff Year
founded
Revenue per
UK Staff Member
Web Liquid 4,618,806 7 2003 659,829
TBG London 13,626,000 42 2001 324,429
WTG 12,160,000 51 1994 238,431
Coast Digital 4,005,023 18 2002 222,501
Sapient 37,316,950 175 1998 213,240
Locker Room 2,114,618 10 2006 211,462
Delaney Lund Knox Warren 5,801,371 32 2000 181,293
Gurus 2,646,000 15 1997 176,400
IMG New Media 10,125,000 72 1997 140,625
Pilot Interactive 4,085,624 30 1996 136,187
Soup 2,660,000 63 1997 42,222
Metia 4,962,775 135 1988 36,761
Ioko 8,595,000 240 1996 35,813
Souk 2,186,493 65 1991 33,638
Carlson Marketing 6,745,000 206 1997 32,743
SixandCo 2,542,128 78 1998 32,591
Draftfcb 5,504,919 183 1991 30,082
Haygarth 3,814,704 139 1999 27,444
Picture Production Co 2,577,790 140 1982 18,413
Detica 13,993,500 1138 1977 12,297

Bob Crandall give back the olive

Bob Crandall removed a single olive from the salads of American Airlines business class meals and saved the Airline $40,000 a year.

Anyone who flies business class enough will have heard this story, given as an example of a smart guy who understood that the little things add up.

Mr. Crandall is savvy guy we can learn from in many areas, but the moral of this story has never sat well with me as it makes product decay a virtue.

If Bob had renegotiated the contract so they got a discount from suppliers equating to a free olive in every salad, I’d be happy.

If Bob had sent a cocky young buyer on a spare American Airlines seat to Italy or Spain, where upon they found an obscure but better quality olive supplier prepared to supply olives for less, and at a higher quality I’d be impressed.

By cutting that single olive we have established decay not evolution. The next logical move is a salad leaf less, one less cherry tomato and so we go on until there is nothing left to cut.

Yet way before there is nothing left to cut, the customer will have noticed the decline in product quality and made the unconscious perception “things used to be better”.

Do you want long term customers thinking and saying “the product used to be better”?

The cost cutting model is flawed as it is often implemented in a “they won’t notice” or “they’ll just have to accept it” manner.

They will notice, and people almost always have options that don’t include your company.

The worst thing that can happen to a company is when customers really don’t have a choice. This is when there is no controlling the nickel and diming and product erosion. That is when a disruption such as a technology change or a new competitor will wipe you out overnight. Ask Ask.com, Yahoo or MSN. Ask the airlines.

It’s not because Jetblue is that great or Virgin Atlantic is that cool that they initially thrived, it’s because of how poor and complacent the incumbent airlines were.

Impressive change is when the increased profits or reduced overheads can be brought about with no decline in product or service quality.  Genius is when the cost cutting actually improves the customer experience.

Any consultant will tell you for free that there is a high correlation between the terms “cost savings” and “efficiencies”.

Look through your company and find where efficiencies for you also mean efficiencies for customers and that is a great place to start your cost cutting.

The UK Recession is long overdue

UK Consumer spending crisis favour Online Retailers in the long term.

For close observers, the 42 inch Plasma Screen was an early indicator of a imminent UK recession. As mountains of perfect tv’s piled up on Craigslist and recycling depots anyone could guess a recession was coming because UK consumer spending had become wanton and unsustainable. Employees earning 30,000GBP were spending 3.5% of their gross wage on a screen with lower quality than a tube based TV. We had seen the emergence of a nation that have become obsessed by what they wanted, deserved and would pay for later.

The current recession will reformat the UK high street and place online retailers in a stronger position than before as offline retailers are forced to close stores and reduce the range of products offered to focus on strong selling lines. That’s good for people like me, who make their money from online business. So while online retailers are also being hit, they will emerge from the recession stronger compared to the trimmed down high streets offering less choice at higher prices.

Of course much of what us happening is inevitable, over the last 20 years most towns have lost their individuality as mid size chains place identical stores in every town centre. The ability to rapidly expand stores was fuelled by UK joe average racking up the highest personal debt in Europe or North America.

The UK’s mountain of personal debt, driven by a common perception that credit cards would be paid off by huge increases in property prices has hit many consumers hard in even basic areas. Even those without a property spent to excess, driving their obsession to “get on the property ladder”, because once on the property ladder, this mystical money making machine would double the price of any property in 5 years and pay for all those credit facilitated excesses, holidays and consumer electronics. The race to own a property served to increase house prices even more radically, ironically driving fear based “must buy now” decisions and making the return on investment appear even more attractive. Obviously this was a national level pyramid scheme that everyone from banks to poorly paid first jobbers fell for.

I’ve lost count of the people I know who’ve proudly announced their house purchases as a testament to their success but omitted to mention the sizable investment by a parent or the inheritance from a grand parent who lived wisely for 50 years only to hand over their estate to purchase a (interest only) flat in Croydon that cost 50% less ten years earlier. The problem is that people have started to live of money they neither earned, deserved or could sustain.

When Citibank closed 100,000 Egg credit card accounts in February, statistics suggest that around 10% of those cards were being used to pay for consumer staples such as the weekly grocery shop and commuting costs. Overnight 10,000 people lost their ability to buy the next travelcard or loaf of bread, or were forced to move to another credit card. It is no coincidence that bread and tea manufacturers saw increases in sales in January, as people cut back on Starbucks and Pret A Manger sandwiches. Likewise, budget supermarkets LIDL and ALDI have seen double digit increases in sales.

The British public is getting what it deserves after a decade of excess. Price sensitivity diminished in the 1990’s and since 2000 there has been little check on prices. Compared to the huge increases in house prices, an overpriced 4.50GBP sandwich or 3.30GBP coffee became overlooked. People I know who earn a quarter of my salary spent like they earned four times my salary, and I’m not a careful economist.

Overall what we have seen is a service based economy, with much less industrial diversity than the US or many of it’s European neighbours spend itself into a hole.

If we take the business definition of insolvent (bankrupt) as “someone who has insufficient assets to cover their debts when those debts fall due” then a growing section of UK society is insolvent, avoiding financial ruin through a series or debt restructuring and new borrowing. Now that borrowing options are becoming increasingly constrained, we should see interesting times ahead. I feel a debt restructuring website project in the pipeline!

Business Week reader jailed for 5 years for wanting an early copy.

Eugene Plotkin a 28 year old  ex Goldman Sachs analyst has been jailed for almost 5 years for a string of insider trading activities that netted his group at least $6.7 million. The nefarious ways of beating the market included bribing print mill workers to supply Business Week before it hit readers. More worrying than his other activities of paying off investment bankers for tips and using strippers as spies is that Business Week could have such a large impact on trading.