Tech Stock P/E Ratio Estimates for 2013

Facebook’s valuation may still be considered high until they sort out their long term advertising stability, but how does it compare the the P/E ratio’s of other Tech companies?

The below graphic (copyright of Business Insider) gives an interesting comparison. Amazon is higher as they are heavily investing in (selling Kindle’s for at or below cost) many different long term growth areas and LinkedIn has string multi channel revenues. Perhaps still, LinkedIn may be a tad high.

Google looks like a bargain compared to Facebook. More on below at Business Insider and a financial comparison of LinkedIn v Facebook.
Chart of the day pe ratio for tech companies facebook august 2012

Source of data: Business Insider

Social Media Marketing Needs to Be High Quality And Human

Most Thursday’s my colleague  KP and I have a 30 minute beer and talk shop on the interplay of Search, Social and Display, I tend to work more in Search and Social areas, KP more in Digital Exchanges. 

Our last chat was about Twitter and how advertising on it feels like Search and Social in terms of Keywords & Profiles (FYI: Increasingly Twitter staff have been hired from Google) but also a little like Digital Display in terms of reach across editorial content in that many Twitter users are arguably content providers in same way Yahoo! or The Guardian is…just a lot more succinct.

There are many ways that Twitter advertising could be a great media for brands as Twitter posts have above average expression of user intent, a small % have extreme viral-ity. Yet right  now the advertising formats are very basic and certainly the adverts I see “Promoted” seem to show very little leverage of what makes Twitter special. Today a Gambling advert was promoted mid stream. I’ve not seen a relevant & enticing Twitter ad targeted to me yet despite the fact I reveal quite a lot of intent in posts. But this is also linked to some of the advertising early adopters in digital such as Gambling companies falling outside my interest. So those who adopt advertising on a platform early are not always the right types of advertiser to compliment and showcase the underlying platform itself…to some extent they can cheapen in. 

My view is any emerging advertising funded platform should make it super easy to get quality advertisers from day one…by hunting the advertisers they want, who can showcase a great synergy of advertiser and media platform. Forget sales cycles and budget cycles for a while, forget sales commissions for a second, in the quarter before you open up sales formally, allocate $5,000,000 of ad inventory and “Gift” it to fast moving, innovative clients and agencies for free. (Agency guy suggests media owner should give free Inventory shocker!!)

But by handpicking your advertisers and giving them sufficient credit to be creative, you encourage adverting that is innovative and creatively thought through. You do this NOT to primarily get a case study (you’ll get that too), but to prove to your existing platform users that the inevitable monitisation by advertising is not going to be the first cracks in the facade of your otherwise well regarded service. At least in the early days handpick advertisers who are going to add something to the lives of your users beyond the usual free gambling credits or mobile phone contract offers or gaming.

Basically it is early days for Twitter advertising and Twitter need to think hard about what advertising they take and how they run it, with a heavy focus on innovative advertising that really aligns to the immediacy, advocacy and engagement of Twitter rather than just seemingly run of site generic adverts.

A great way to use Twitter advertising would be to leverage sentiment, geo-targeting and fast moving situations to your advantage. The revenue opportunity is often small, but the brand engagement opportunity could be large. 

Fictional Example :

Become the hero who Cheers up bored and frustrated commuters, There are no shortage of severely delayed passengers in the UK, especially in winter and around holidays.

Imagine you are a restaurant or pub chain with locations near large long distance train stations. 

Start Monitoring tweets mentioning station names and train company names. When a long distance train with capacity to carry 1000 passengers is delayed by an hour, you can expect Twitter to register the impact on some level.

Tweets may come in “Bored at Euston waiting (AGAIN) for delayed train to Glasgow.”

Your agile response could be: “Waiting for delayed 19.15 to Glasgow?, Nando’s feels for you. Free beer at Euston Nando’s (with every meal) to cheer you up”

The easiest tangible outcome may well be modest revenue canibalisation in that you give away free beer to a crowd of people who may have come to Nando’s Euston anyhow to kill some time.

But the really valuable and primary outcome is the positive brand equity, and the positive word of mouth of generated. A “Thanks Nando’s” Tweet would be nice, but the inevitable but less trackable offline mentions will be just as valuable.

It’s a micro branding exercise but marketers are going to need to get used to finding ways to scale many micro social brand building exercises into a larger than the sum of its parts social engagement strategy. To date too many social marketing advertising campaigns have revolved around uploading 10,000 different Facebook Creatives / Targeting options on the basis that social advertising is about what shading of image variation targeted at a demographic gets the highest CTR. Real social marketing needs to think hard about the SOCIAL context and that means people and their lives, context and timeliness. 

You wouldn’t blurt out a personal reccomendation for a good hairdresser while your friends talked about what cars they liked or during a friend moaning about their boss…WHY? because it would be bizare for a start..but more so it would prompt them to say “Were you listening to a word I was saying?”  The best social advertising will likely be that which proves it is listening…not in a creepy way, but a useful way. The problem is listening is an active and not passive skill and requires a lot of effort. But the reward for being engaged is usually high, and the relationships you form are far more enduring. 

So do I think social advertising is a great Direct Response medium for many advertisers who will see 480% ROI on sales?

Not usually and that is not the primary objective I would target right now via social marketing. I’d target engaged interaction, authenticity, differentiation from the crowd by being real and accessible.

I suppose the giveaway is in the word Social – It is relatively rare that you attend a Social Event to buy something, more often you go to get to know people or mix, to enrich relationships.
Relationships are the key to having stable sales and long term customers powered by more than just stand out price, product and location advantages (which you may not always have all the time)

The kicker is…..you cannot do highly engaged social marketing with small teams, as you cannot easily scale engagement. Automation of Social to enable scale is kind of ironic.

Just as you know that your call centre cannot handle hundreds of personal engagements (mini relationships in time) with 2 people, you need to scale up for highly engaged social marketing so that you have staff (brand ambassadors) available when your customers are in need &/or open to interaction. And right now, not many companies are prepared to hire more than a handful of Social Media ambassadors let alone dozens. But if you really believe your brand will be maintained, curated, made or lost online…then it is time to invest in enough capacity to handle real time, real world, 2 way, public dialogue.

Value of Social Media to Luxury Brands

Which Luxury Brands are doing best in social platforms such as Facebook, Twitter & YouTube?

And what does online consumer behavior mean to Luxury Brands in terms of hard business outcomes?

The 2 attached PDF reports below, presented in Milan on September 17, 2012 by Fondazione AltaGamma (Italian Luxury Trade Body) and McKinsey Consulting give valuable insight to these questions, highlight market leaders and the outcomes of many senior level working groups on the value of digital to actual sales outcomes.

Altagamma Index 2012 The best performers in the digital world

Digital Luxury Experience 2012 From customer experience to impact

Source Credit: Fondazione AltaGamma http://www.altagamma.it/sezione2.php?Id=22&Lingua=ing where a wide range of other reports on the Luxury Sector can be found.

How to Avoid ReTargeting

Being Stalked by retargeting? Have you been taught to resent a brand you once liked because they won’t stop retargeting you yet? Want it to stop?

If so…the quick Answer is .. go to: Self-Regulatory Program for Online Behavioral Advertising. and Opt Out of Behavioral Targeting. This single website covers most digital display networks and many advertisers / publishers. The full list of who your Opt Out may ideally block from targeting you is at Self-Regulatory Program for Online Behavioral Advertising.

For the record I’m not opted out, but friends have asked me how they can. For me, the sheer joy of poorly managed retargeting and the benefit of optimised retargeting is reward alone to stay “Opted In??”.

Honesty disclaimer..I work at a organistion that does retargeting (any and all media agencies will) and I have worked on behavioural systems prior,  so I could as easily give you an essay on the benefits of behavioral targeting to advertisers and the public, but for now lets look at where there are some gremlins.

For those of you unsure what I am talking about, Retargeting is  (crudely stated) a cookie based way of following you around the web after you visit a website and showing you adverts on 3rd party websites that should persuade you to come back and buy/sign up/complete one of the advertisers various goals at the original advertisers site that you left so calously.

Retargeting can be used very well and achieve high ROAS, but unless it is frequency capped (i.e. after so many ads shown to you and no click, it goes away) and well optimised to the audience it can be inappropriate or start feeling like stalking.

I have 4 current examples. P&O Ferries have been showing me various ads across the Google Display Network for ages since I visited their website. As it was I took the Eurostar…so I feel a bit guilty but no more likely to travel P&O Ferries.

Next up is Opentag, their advert now turns up everywhere. I need to speak with these guys next week and looked at their site for contact details, now our first topic of conversation will be “nice biscuits, by the way…can you call off your display advertising retargeting hounds. ”

SEOmoz (who I love) was next, I didn’t sign up for an account when I visited the site (Because my team already pays for 30 or so SEOmoz accounts). In short, nice robot advert Rand, but you’re literally preaching to the converted….at last count….76 times.

Then we have The Grange Hotel, you didn’t have rooms when I wanted one…but like a blind date that didn’t quite work out…Grange is determined there was some chemistry..really….you’re back time and time and time and time and time and ….time again. ” Grange…I slept with Hilton…. I’m so sorry Grange…but please let me move on…you weren’t there when I needed you, Hilton was.”

Sometimes I even get 2 adverts from The Grange if I’m lucky.

So all in all….I have now seen adverts for 4 advertisers almost constantly for 5 days (to the near exclusion of all other adverts). I know how to turn them off, but like some Stockholm Syndrome sufferer I’m almost feeling like they are my friends…what will happen when my four adverts, for products and services I either have or won’t buy…finally go away. How will I feel?

I may have to edit my cookie settings as I  am not sure I can handle the rejection of the retargeting being cross network frequency capped or maybe..horror…spending all their money on me and running out of budget due to my perhaps misunderstood glances.

If you like to do the dumping first….get yourself to About Ads and Opt Out as you see fit. For me, I may have just one more look at The Onion on Youtube and see if The Grange is there for me…..

Was Sleeping with Hilton a Mistake?

Google Ads Preferences

Google Ads Preferences Manager is a feature that allows you to modify the Doubleclick cookie data associated with your browser and it’s usage on sites using the Google Display Network.  This cookie enables Google to tailor adverting to you on sites using it’s display advertising systems. It should not store data on your actual Google Search queries but it will store data on sites you visit downstream from search that use Google Display Network advertising.

As you browse, more and more categories become associated with your browser, as well as demographic data. This is then used  by the Google Display Network (GDN) formerly known as the Google Content Network to target more specific advertising at you. This targeting includes Retargeting (Re-Targeting) whereby after you leave an advertisers website without fulfilling an advertisers goal, such as booking a hotel room or signing up for their service, that site will more frequently show you adverts to persuade you to come back and fulfil the goal. (Inversely the advertiser can negatively target you (i.e. exclude you) from further advertising if you have demonstrated you are a customer by logging in etc. Some advertisers will do this to save money or not pester you, others will use it to ensure you don’t see special offers aimed at new customers only!

If you want to Opt Out of the Google Display Network profiling you for its advertisers then visit Google Ad Preferences Manager and click Opt Out.

If you want to more fully opt out of most of the other advertising networks Behavioral Targeting systems as well then visit About Ads which will show you all networks storing data on your browser. You may need to run this for each browser you use.

For an example of what Google was storing on my Firefox and IE7 browsers but not Chrome (I don’t use chrome yet) see below. According to Doubleclick’s tracking I’m a hybrid of Sir Alan Sugar and Moss from the IT Crowd. Sadly I don’t own a Rolls Royce (needed a photo of one for a presentation)  so in some cases a single site visit can add a category to your profile yet dozens of visits elsewhere (i.e. outside GDN advertiser sites will not be flagged). Enjoy.

Geeky with taste for travel

Online Marketing Spend

When buying online media it is useful to compare website user statistics to offline audience figures so you don’t lose perspective.

When buying media or generating revenues strategies for online publishers I compare costs/incomes to audited offline media such as newspapers and magazines.

Whilst there are huge differences in what you can do online compared to a printed page, at the end of the day advertising dollars should follow the audience and the biggest ROI.

One online network is charging around £6.00 CPM for a mass market run of site marketing campaign, yet I can buy the same quality eyeballs and attention in a London morning newspaper for slightly less in terms of comparative presence and audience impact. I will use this to leverage a discount where possible.

Regardless of being an offline or online marketing consultant, it is important to tell your client where to put their money to gain best effects, and sometimes that is where you traditionally buy.

ABC provide a PDF certificate of distribution for many publications. For instance The London Paper is distributed at 641 locations including 173 locations around train stations and has a average distribution of 501,329 issues per day, and carries around 39% advertising content. I know this and can show my client this because it’s certificated: http://abcpdfcerts.abc.org.uk/pdf/certificates/15571687.pdf

.Net magazine has 18,001 copies distributed but I would wager money that many of the advertisers do not realize 34.6% of copies are sent internationally and never reach a UK or Ireland address. Over a third of the readers are unlikely to buy their UK targeted services. How do I know..because I have a calculator and…the audit certificate http://abcpdfcerts.abc.org.uk/pdf/certificates/14775673.pdf

Surprisingly, offline media has much better transparency in some areas, assuming you take the figures with a small pinch of salt.

Don’t assume online is the best place for your clients money, and if it is…leverage offline advertising rates to bargain down to a rate based that reflects the cost of marketing to that audience (regardless of medium). 2009 is a year to negotiate down the rising costs of online marketing.

Facebook Advert Targeting

With Ad Targeting this good, where do I sign up?

ironic-facebook-advert

Top 100 Digital Agencies in UK 2008

Top 100 UK Online Agencies 2008 as reported in New Media Age’s 2008 Rankings.

Sapient comes in 1st place for the second year running.  See 2007 UK Digital Agencies rankings.

I’ve added in revenue per staff member based on the quoted earnings declared. Craik Jones Watson Mitchell Voelkel came in higest billings per head at £213,691 while  e-InBusiness revenues suggest a mere £33,649 per head.  Mean Average revenues per head were £88,729 across the ranked agencies.

Rank Agency Name Declared 2007/8 Fees UK Staff Revenue
per staff member
Year
Founded
1 Sapient £50,048,850 267 £187,449 1998
2 LBi UK £36,801,819 352 £104,551 2006
3 Conchango £30,100,048 300 £100,333 1995
4 AKQA £25,518,442 350 £72,910 1995
5 Digital Marketing Group £23,216,200 307 £75,623 2006
6 Detica £17,997,992 154 £116,870 1998
7 Avenue A/Razorfish £17,039,000 159 £107,164 1995
8 MRM Worldwide £17,022,000 206 £82,631 2005
9 Ioko £16,276,425 273 £59,621 1996
10 IMG Digital Media £12,211,000 73 £167,274 1997
11 Perform £11,997,435 195 £61,525 1997
12 Web Technology Group £11,079,723 52 £213,072 1995
13 Agency.com £10,445,105 115 £90,827 1995
14 Dare £9,839,213 174 £56,547 2000
15 Javelin Group £9,172,414 75 £122,299 1997
16 GT £8,903,804 100 £89,038 1994
17 Amaze £8,782,208 183 £47,990 1995
18 Agency Republic £8,595,671 100 £85,957 2001
19 Global Beach £8,478,148 85 £99,743 1993
20 TBG London £8,450,000 47 £179,787 2001
21 Reading Room £7,410,409 145 £51,106 1996
22 Investis £7,392,708 88 £84,008 2000
23 Syzygy London £7,104,787 75 £94,730 1995
24 Carlson Marketing Group (UK) £6,919,335 65 £106,451 1999
25 Chemistry Communications £6,800,000 55 £123,636 2000
26 Publicis Modem £6,751,000 64 £105,484 2007
27 The Grass Roots Group (UK) £6,722,860 50 £134,457 2002
28 Digitaltmw £6,471,781 62 £104,384 2000
29 Profero £6,354,691 82 £77,496 1998
30 Glue London £6,193,010 114 £54,325 1999
31 Archibald Ingall Stretton £5,874,000 130 £45,185 2005
32 Rufus Leonard £5,804,609 62 £93,623 1989
33 Sift £5,651,540 100 £56,515 1996
34 Proximity London £5,300,000 70 £75,714 2001
35 RMG Connect £5,202,192 79 £65,851 2002
36 Grand Union £5,134,017 77 £66,676 2000
37 Interakting £4,919,785 52 £94,611 1995
38 Altogether Digital £4,911,462 70 £70,164 2007
39 Red Bee Media £4,900,365 30 £163,346 1996
40 Tequila\London £4,859,138 50 £97,183 1992
41 Metia £4,756,436 133 £35,763 1988
42 Twentysix £4,682,000 93 £50,344 1997
43 Delaney Lund Knox Warren £4,671,429 44 £106,169 2002
44 Lida £4,353,000 85 £51,212 2000
45 Poke £4,312,444 47 £91,754 2001
46 HeathWallace £4,300,808 48 £89,600 2001
47 Lightmaker £4,225,417 82 £51,529 1997
48 cScape £4,220,871 80 £52,761 1996
49 Zone £4,121,000 50 £82,420 2000
50 de-construct £4,095,354 38 £107,772 2001
51 Imagination £3,915,400 26 £150,592 1995
52 Steel £3,705,513 60 £61,759 1980
53 E3 £3,670,812 58 £63,290 1997
54 Haymarket Digital Network £3,645,000 32 £113,906 2003
55 The Group £3,600,093 54 £66,668 1991
56 Pod1 £3,577,388 43 £83,195 2001
57 Digital Outlook £3,540,000 43 £82,326 1998
58 BD Network £3,535,000 34 £103,971 1999
59 Gurus £3,329,119 18 £184,951 1998
60 Five by Five £3,315,376 51 £65,007 1995
61 Cimex Media £3,265,114 50 £65,302 1994
62 RPM3 Beechwood £3,227,861 67 £48,177 1998
63 Iris Digital £3,125,000 33 £94,697 2006
64 Abacus eMedia £3,093,258 48 £64,443 1983
65 Souk £3,073,590 18 £170,755 2002
66 Bluhalo £3,066,209 39 £78,621 1999
67 Freestyle Interactive £3,029,726 47 £64,462 1996
68 Code Computerlove £3,020,439 55 £54,917 1999
69 Th_nk £2,997,004 62 £48,339 2001
70 JPMH £2,993,855 55 £54,434 2002
71 Precedent Communications £2,932,509 57 £51,448 1989
72 Realise £2,922,944 42 £69,594 1997
73 Crayon £2,914,036 42 £69,382 2005
74 Holler £2,901,082 30 £96,703 2001
75 Summit Media £2,831,256 53 £53,420 2000
76 Fortune Cookie £2,803,281 42 £66,745 1997
77 Soup £2,790,000 48 £58,125 1997
78 Craik Jones Watson Mitchell Voelkel £2,777,982 13 £213,691 2000
79 Nucleus £2,749,613 18 £152,756 1996
80 VCCP £2,656,177 40 £66,404 2002
81 Avvio £2,650,000 34 £77,941 1997
82 Mook £2,648,173 34 £77,887 1999
83 BGD Group £2,579,188 14 £184,228 2003
84 Affinity New Media £2,556,314 41 £62,349 1997
85 Atticmedia £2,533,889 39 £64,972 1996
86 Blue Barracuda £2,511,961 40 £62,799 2001
87 Swamp £2,485,200 40 £62,130 2002
88 Design UK £2,327,000 40 £58,175 1997
89 Equator £2,320,985 52 £44,634 1999
90 CMW £2,237,000 64 £34,953 1995
91 Haygarth £2,214,000 19 £116,526 1999
92 Coast Digital £2,211,718 23 £96,162 2002
93 Redweb £2,209,901 48 £46,040 1997
94 e-InBusiness £2,187,185 65 £33,649 1999
95 OCS Internet Media £2,166,398 29 £74,703 2001
96 Moore Wilson £2,121,000 28 £75,750 1996
97 Lateral £2,069,159 30 £68,972 1997
98 The M-Corporation £2,042,761 23 £88,816 1992
99 Curious Digital £2,019,696 32 £63,116 2006
100 The Other Media £2,018,554 33 £61,168 1994
101 Duke UK £1,981,226 21 £94,344 2005

IP Location increasingly inaccurate as mobile Internet takes off

IP Address Location, often referred to as IP to Location is a powerful way to increase relevance of adverts and content by geo targeting but the accuracy of IP Targeting is declining as fast as mobile internet access is increasing.

Right now Google is offering me Swedish adverts on Google.com searches, the same goes for Google’s adverts on Ask.com.

Yahoo are appending “&fp_ip=SE” (he’s in Sweden) to my search string.

Only MSN Live seems to ignore my IP and annotates “&mkt=en-us” which suggests MSN is crudely reading my browser language setting and assuming I am a US user because I bought the laptop there.

Yet MSN is no less correct than Google, Yahoo or Ask on where I am.

While I may appear to be in Sweden based on IP, I am actually travelling at 225 Km/Hour through the English countryside on a National Express Train using Icomera Mobile System (IMS) internet.

Icomera are based in Sweden and using servers based in Sweden to power the mobile internet service. I may be looking East over the North Sea but as far as the IP targeted advertising servers at Google are concerned I am in Strängnäs, home to Sweden’s second oldest Gymnasium (population 31,152).

In 2007 500,000 train passengers used Icomera’s Wi-Fi on this route where it was provided free to 1stClass and at over $10 to Standard class passengers. In 2008 the train company changed hands and the new owner provides Wi-Fi free to all passengers.

All 500,000 users last year were shown miss-targeted advertising by Google if they carry out a search from the train Wi-Fi. I was incorectly targeted on every trip.

Today 52 trains equipped with the Icomera technology will travel in the UK, each with a minimum passenger capacity of 488 people. That is a potential passenger load of 25, 376 passengers. If every passenger was crammed on and used Wi-Fi, this would appear as if 81% of the Strängnäs population logged on.

From the Swedish advertisers perspective this is no gravy train for them, as most of today’s onboard  clicks will be paying to confuse British rail passengers with Swedish language landing pages.

I log off Icomera and start using my Vodafone mobile broadband card. Suddenly I am shown UK advertising again. But now I am in Newbury according to IP location. Newbury is the HQ for Vodafone.Close, well, only 320 miles away, but no cigar.

Maybe I’ll stop off at Starbucks in Edinburgh and use their T-Mobile hotspot where I will suddenly be IP transported to Dusseldorf or Cologne in Germany.

While adoption of mobile internet is still relatively low this may be an acceptable statistical error, but soon it will become a noticeable headache. Those using mobile internet are typically higher income and in highly desirable e-commerce demographic that is becoming harder to geo-locate while search engines deliver irrelevant advertising to consumers and expensive lost opportunities to retailers.

Edinburgh Based SEO Ambergreen gains new chairman

Ambergreen, an Edinburgh based SEO company has appointed Scottish advertising agency founder John Denholm as it Chairman.

This is another signal of SEO companies looking for experience from old school advertising leaders to guide them through an increasingly challenging market where the big advertising agencies are now perceiving SEO as viable and natural service within their marketing services. Denholm formed the Leith Agency in the 1980’s and has the standard FMCG background.

Hopefully Ambergreen can share some SEO love for Denholm’s old company as the Leith Agency website is like a parody crimes against search.

Interestingly, Big Mouth Media are nowhere to be seen on the query [ Edinburgh Based SEO ] , despite being one of the UK’s largest SEO companies and being based in Edinburgh.